The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 31 game
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 27 games
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 26 games
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
Medusasignature
Satanic · 22 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Satanic · 22 games
Wildcard Gaming
Tusk
Bignum · 26 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 24 games
Puckoften banned
RCY · 24 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 23 games
Tiny
YamSun · 21 game
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 19 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
423 picks · 352 bans
Dark Willow
340 picks · 181 bans
Puck
334 picks · 780 bans
Tusk
331 picks · 325 bans
Batrider
315 picks · 823 bans
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 543 bans
Dawnbreaker
271 picks · 621 bans
Pangolier
267 picks · 356 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 46%
Hero pool strength61% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:12
PARIVISION 85%Wildcard Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 39:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageSatanic
AbaddonYamSun
InvokerNo[o]ne
Queen of PainRCY
UndyingDM
MarciFayde
Monkey King9Class
BatriderSpeeed
SnapfireDukalis
BaneBignum
Game 2prediction correct23:28
PARIVISION 85%Wildcard Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidSatanic
AlchemistYamSun
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
Void SpiritRCY
EnigmaDM
DawnbreakerFayde
Marci9Class
WarlockSpeeed
ZeusDukalis
TuskBignum
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 96%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2