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BLAST Slam II · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 19 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 16 games
81%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 29 games
66%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Pyw · 23 games
61%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 18 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 17 games
88%
Puck
Pucksignature
Xm · 16 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 14 games
64%
Luna
Lunasignature
Ame · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
469 picks · 400 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
463 picks · 568 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
445 picks · 550 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
426 picks · 528 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 772 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 453 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
404 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
399 picks · 862 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:7
PARIVISION 62%Xtreme Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 27:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
47% · 168 games46% · 93 games
Phantom Assassinlou
Phantom Assassin
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNo[o]ne
56% · 99 games55% · 228 games
PuckXm
Puck
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
49% · 171 game47% · 211 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Chen
ChenDukalis
55% · 119 games49% · 370 games
TinyPyw
Tiny
Batrider
Batrider9Class
48% · 380 games45% · 35 games
WarlockPoloson
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 68%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1