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Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 39 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 29 games
83%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Dukalis · 23 games
78%
Slark
Slarksignature
9Class · 23 games
78%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
55%

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 29 games
45%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 28 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 23 games
52%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 22 games
64%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 21 game
62%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
488 picks · 526 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
447 picks · 464 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
356 picks · 200 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
356 picks · 360 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
350 picks · 733 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 519 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
315 picks · 197 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
311 picks · 508 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total78% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:13
PARIVISION 69%Xtreme Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 43:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoSatanic
53% · 14 games41% · 144 games
MorphlingAme
Morphling
Undying
UndyingDM
60% · 77 games45% · 56 games
SniperXm
Sniper
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
50% · 264 games43% · 136 games
KunkkaXxs
Kunkka
Ringmaster
Ringmaster9Class
61% · 123 games48% · 164 games
BatriderXinQ
Batrider
Oracle
OracleDukalis
53% · 63 games45% · 41 game
Ogre MagiPoloson
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction correct25:18
PARIVISION 69%Xtreme Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 47:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
54% · 438 games50% · 323 games
GyrocopterAme
Gyrocopter
Doom
DoomSatanic
46% · 354 games53% · 362 games
BristlebackXxs
Bristleback
Dark Seer
Dark SeerDM
53% · 247 games44% · 487 games
PangolierXm
Pangolier
Batrider
Batrider9Class
51% · 472 games48% · 428 games
TuskXinQ
Tusk
Pugna
PugnaDukalis
51% · 193 games50% · 104 games
DisruptorPoloson
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 78%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2