?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 24 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 22 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 21 game
43%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Satanic · 16 games
56%
Puck
Pucksignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
63%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
81%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 15 games
87%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
No[o]ne · 15 games
47%

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 20 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 19 games
68%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 18 games
44%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 16 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
XinQ · 16 games
56%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 16 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
757 picks · 348 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
605 picks · 304 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
601 picks · 573 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
587 picks · 745 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
554 picks · 336 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
545 picks · 536 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
517 picks · 611 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
508 picks · 772 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total64% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:16
PARIVISION 56%Xtreme Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 44:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSatanic
49% · 284 games52% · 34 games
KezAme
Kez
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
51% · 109 games51% · 146 games
TidehunterXxs
Tidehunter
Slardar
SlardarDM
53% · 170 games45% · 168 games
LeshracNothingToSay
Leshrac
Disruptor
DisruptorDukalis
47% · 200 games55% · 164 games
Shadow Shamanfy
Shadow Shaman
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin9Class
45% · 57 games50% · 308 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct20:8
PARIVISION 60%Xtreme Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 20:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaSatanic
54% · 142 games48% · 22 games
KezAme
Kez
Tiny
TinyNo[o]ne
47% · 410 games45% · 148 games
AxeXxs
Axe
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
54% · 268 games53% · 346 games
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
Ember Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light9Class
55% · 93 games49% · 318 games
WarlockxNova
Warlock
Elder Titan
Elder TitanDukalis
55% · 85 games41% · 164 games
Dark Willowfy
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 64%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2