ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionPUPasika UAwin 1:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Timebombloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pasika UA
Batrideroften banned
kreker · 1 game
Bounty Hunteroften banned
QBFY · 1 game
Broodmotheroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 1 game
Jakirooften banned
kreker · 1 game
Razor
mangekyou · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
QBFY · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
Batyuk · 1 game
Timebomb
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
547 picks · 739 bans
Tusk
488 picks · 350 bans
Dragon Knight
465 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
438 picks · 540 bans
Shadow Demon
373 picks · 638 bans
Gyrocopter
362 picks · 548 bans
Hoodwink
349 picks · 157 bans
Mars
348 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Timebomb
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Pasika UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct54:13
Pasika UA 83%Timebomb 17%
The model gave 83% on Pasika UA — the game was taken by Pasika UA in 25:19.
Model check result
Model favoritePasika UA · 83%
Series resultPasika UA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1