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CCT Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Bushidoloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 13 games
38%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 12 games
25%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 12 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 10 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Batyuk · 9 games
22%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 9 games
44%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fernans · 9 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 8 games
13%

Bushido

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Covisnine · 5 games
40%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Dodren · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
jAMES · 4 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 2 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 2 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
4IVAN · 2 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
jAMES · 2 games
50%
Lina
Linaoften banned
rostislav_999 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
347 picks · 296 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 435 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
329 picks · 253 bans
45%
Enchantress
Enchantress
319 picks · 539 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
298 picks · 283 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
295 picks · 412 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
294 picks · 796 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
293 picks · 472 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 36%
Hero pool strength54% Bushido
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 74%Bushido 26%
The model gave 74% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 74%Bushido 26%
The model gave 74% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 74%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2