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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Jigglinloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 36 games
56%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
flacko · 28 games
43%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Fernans · 25 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 23 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 21 game
48%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 21 game
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 20 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 18 games
50%

Jigglin

Batrider
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
100%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Se · 6 games
83%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
60%
Muerta
Muerta
Lelis · 5 games
40%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 5 games
80%
Meepo
Meepooften banned
423 · 4 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
423 · 4 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
479 picks · 416 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
433 picks · 573 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
433 picks · 229 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 539 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 737 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
419 picks · 498 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
365 picks · 589 bans
45%
Tiny
Tiny
358 picks · 414 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 60%
Hero pool strength59% Jigglin
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:20
Passion UA 35%Jigglin 65%
The model gave 65% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Passion UA in 45:50.
Game 2prediction correct12:35
Passion UA 35%Jigglin 65%
The model gave 65% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin in 50:04.
Game 3prediction missed19:15
Passion UA 35%Jigglin 65%
The model gave 65% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Passion UA in 37:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 65%
Series resultPassion UA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3