CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PPantheonloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Passion UA
Hoodwinkoften banned
Fernans · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
niche · 8 games
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
Batyuk · 7 games
Timbersawsignature
Batyuk · 6 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Batyuk · 5 games
Chenoften banned
flacko · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 5 games
Pantheon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
439 picks · 369 bans
Hoodwink
408 picks · 456 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 880 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 831 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 519 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 506 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 641 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Pantheon
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 79%Pantheon 21%
The model gave 79% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 79%Pantheon 21%
The model gave 79% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 79%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2