?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Quantum Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 29 games
41%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 20 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 18 games
28%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 16 games
69%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 16 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 15 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 16 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fezor · 12 games
25%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ankou · 8 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
523 picks · 587 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
484 picks · 437 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
468 picks · 235 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
368 picks · 752 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 511 bans
51%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
335 picks · 771 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
322 picks · 290 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 32%
Hero pool strength55% Passion UA
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total53% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 47%Quantum Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 47%Quantum Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 53%
Series resultQuantum Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2