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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Perrito Panzonloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
eSpoiledwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Perrito Panzon

Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
MoOz · 4 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenix
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
PiPi · 3 games
100%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Frank · 3 games
100%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 3 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Elmisho · 2 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
MoOz · 2 games
100%

eSpoiled

Snapfire
Snapfire
Wein · 39 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Wein · 25 games
56%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
ssnovv1 · 24 games
58%
Chen
Chensignature
asdekor_r · 22 games
64%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Difference · 21 game
71%
Bane
Bane
asdekor_r · 20 games
40%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
ssnovv1 · 20 games
80%
Tusk
Tusk
Wein · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
685 picks · 329 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
558 picks · 598 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
460 picks · 237 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
386 picks · 660 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 1115 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
374 picks · 248 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
343 picks · 353 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
335 picks · 383 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% eSpoiled
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Perrito Panzon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:25
Perrito Panzon 54%eSpoiled 46%
The model gave 54% on Perrito Panzon — the game was taken by eSpoiled in 39:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeK1
49% · 305 games48% · 382 games
Dragon Knightssnovv1
Dragon Knight
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFrank
48% · 207 games48% · 449 games
Pangolierdualrazee
Pangolier
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainPiPi
45% · 234 games51% · 328 games
WarlockGarbat1y
Warlock
Chen
ChenMoOz
61% · 183 games51% · 138 games
Bounty HunterWein
Bounty Hunter
Tusk
TuskElmisho
49% · 368 games
Game 2prediction missed14:31
Perrito Panzon 55%eSpoiled 45%
The model gave 55% on Perrito Panzon — the game was taken by eSpoiled in 32:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterK1
52% · 315 games48% · 421 game
Terrorbladessnovv1
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritPiPi
49% · 337 games48% · 236 games
Timbersawdualrazee
Timbersaw
Doom
DoomFrank
57% · 214 games52% · 257 games
Snapfireasdekor_r
Snapfire
Jakiro
JakiroMoOz
45% · 335 games49% · 457 games
TuskWein
Tusk
Lion
LionElmisho
52% · 170 games
Model check result
Model favoritePerrito Panzon · 58%
Series resulteSpoiled 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2