DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Peru Rejectswin 2:1series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CBChimpanzini Bananiniloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Peru Rejects
No games played over 6 months.
Chimpanzini Bananini
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
291 picks · 686 bans
Shadow Shaman
289 picks · 184 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 645 bans
Tusk
255 picks · 251 bans
Dark Willow
251 picks · 107 bans
Disruptor
251 picks · 214 bans
Nature's Prophet
247 picks · 539 bans
Marci
243 picks · 584 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Peru Rejects
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Peru Rejects
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:29
Peru Rejects 76%Chimpanzini Bananini 24%
The model gave 76% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini in 49:40.
Game 2prediction correct11:29
Peru Rejects 76%Chimpanzini Bananini 24%
The model gave 76% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by Peru Rejects in 24:04.
Game 3prediction correct31:12
Peru Rejects 76%Chimpanzini Bananini 24%
The model gave 76% on Peru Rejects — the game was taken by Peru Rejects in 37:29.
Model check result
Model favoritePeru Rejects · 76%
Series resultPeru Rejects 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3