Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Phoenix Gamingloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelion Esport Clubwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Phoenix Gaming
Death Prophetoften banned
Shining · 8 games
Marsoften banned
Shining · 7 games
Bane
Lwwnb · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
zone- · 6 games
Dark Willow
Helios · 4 games
Queen of Painoften banned
zone- · 4 games
Hoodwink
Helios · 3 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Helios · 3 games
Dandelion Esport Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
439 picks · 272 bans
Queen of Pain
390 picks · 501 bans
Weaver
354 picks · 501 bans
Mars
347 picks · 488 bans
Kunkka
289 picks · 471 bans
Wraith King
249 picks · 334 bans
Spirit Breaker
245 picks · 459 bans
Death Prophet
242 picks · 337 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 71%
Hero pool strength62% Dandelion Esport Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Dandelion Esport Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:30
Phoenix Gaming 31%Dandelion Esport Club 69%
The model gave 69% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 38:19.
Game 2prediction correct7:22
Phoenix Gaming 31%Dandelion Esport Club 69%
The model gave 69% on Dandelion Esport Club — the game was taken by Dandelion Esport Club in 32:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelion Esport Club · 69%
Series resultDandelion Esport Club 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2