Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
Piggy Killerwin 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team CDMloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Piggy Killer
No games played over 6 months.
Team CDM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
756 picks · 482 bans
Tiny
537 picks · 387 bans
Tusk
535 picks · 444 bans
Treant Protector
531 picks · 582 bans
Nature's Prophet
410 picks · 603 bans
Snapfire
389 picks · 271 bans
Death Prophet
378 picks · 641 bans
Ember Spirit
353 picks · 755 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Piggy Killer
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Piggy Killer
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Piggy Killer 66%Team CDM 34%
The model gave 66% on Piggy Killer — the game was taken by Piggy Killer.
Model check result
Model favoritePiggy Killer · 66%
Series resultPiggy Killer 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1