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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Pipsqueak+4win 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OQ Enjoyersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Pipsqueak+4

Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 42 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 34 games
62%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Palantimos · 33 games
61%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nande · 30 games
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 30 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 29 games
52%
Tusk
Tusk
Ekki · 29 games
55%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 28 games
68%

OQ Enjoyers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
556 picks · 737 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
495 picks · 353 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 646 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 545 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 633 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
365 picks · 548 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 169 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
356 picks · 116 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Pipsqueak+4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Pipsqueak+4
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct72:27
Pipsqueak+4 58%OQ Enjoyers 42%
The model gave 58% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 59:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendNande
51% · 192 games58% · 32 games
AlchemistWoE
Alchemist
Void Spirit
Void SpiritCopy
49% · 165 games41% · 203 games
Queen of PainStojkov
Queen of Pain
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerPalantimos
52% · 274 games45% · 108 games
DawnbreakerChodΣX
Dawnbreaker
Weaver
WeaverEkki
48% · 106 games49% · 288 games
TuskKyzko
Tusk
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoraik
70% · 15 games57% · 121 game
BaneFishman
Bane
Game 2prediction correct30:16
Pipsqueak+4 57%OQ Enjoyers 43%
The model gave 57% on Pipsqueak+4 — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 28:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzNande
56% · 35 games44% · 77 games
InvokerStojkov
Invoker
Puck
PuckCopy
54% · 262 games53% · 113 games
Shadow FiendWoE
Shadow Fiend
Tidehunter
TidehunterPalantimos
46% · 131 game50% · 120 games
Primal BeastChodΣX
Primal Beast
Jakiro
JakiroEkki
49% · 292 games54% · 60 games
MiranaFishman
Mirana
Omniknight
Omniknightaik
48% · 23 games48% · 373 games
TuskKyzko
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoritePipsqueak+4 · 64%
Series resultPipsqueak+4 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2