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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
PlayTimewin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Amaru Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 16 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 13 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 13 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 13 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
30%

Amaru Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
55%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Oscar · 9 games
44%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Oscar · 8 games
63%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 8 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 6 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Gardick · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 6 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
PiPi · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
631 picks · 440 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
581 picks · 322 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
480 picks · 575 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
453 picks · 663 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 378 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
354 picks · 528 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
346 picks · 410 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 1042 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% Amaru Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% PlayTime
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:11
PlayTime 72%Amaru Gaming 28%
The model gave 72% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 41:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperDarkMago
50% · 125 games57% · 80 games
Naga SirenK1
Naga Siren
Monkey King
Monkey KingWits
47% · 138 games45% · 273 games
Storm SpiritPiPi
Storm Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaFrank
57% · 75 games48% · 177 games
AxeOscar
Axe
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinScofield
49% · 82 games48% · 222 games
WindrangerGenek
Windranger
Hoodwink
HoodwinkElmisho
51% · 366 games48% · 34 games
Ancient ApparitionPanda
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct33:14
PlayTime 72%Amaru Gaming 28%
The model gave 72% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 25:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanFrank
46% · 131 game48% · 261 game
TerrorbladeK1
Terrorblade
Tiny
TinyWits
49% · 367 games50% · 306 games
Storm SpiritPiPi
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarDarkMago
59% · 373 games49% · 359 games
PangolierOscar
Pangolier
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeScofield
48% · 116 games52% · 215 games
ClockwerkGenek
Clockwerk
Enchantress
EnchantressElmisho
54% · 208 games40% · 54 games
Crystal MaidenPanda
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoritePlayTime · 86%
Series resultPlayTime 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2