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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
PlayTimewin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Level UPloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
DJ · 19 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 18 games
61%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 15 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 14 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
58%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
67%

Level UP

Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 8 games
38%
Techies
Techiessignature
Htrd · 6 games
83%
Lich
Lich
Htrd · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
queezy · 5 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Atoufix · 5 games
0%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Norma · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
617 picks · 440 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
552 picks · 320 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 377 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
406 picks · 591 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
385 picks · 430 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 495 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
332 picks · 629 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% PlayTime
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% PlayTime
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:7
PlayTime 71%Level UP 29%
The model gave 71% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 42:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosDarkMago
54% · 45 games57% · 45 games
MedusaWoE
Medusa
Clinkz
ClinkzWits
57% · 48 games42% · 118 games
DoomBb3px
Doom
Enigma
EnigmaFrank
54% · 66 games46% · 31 game
Earth SpiritAinkrad
Earth Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkScofield
46% · 343 games42% · 183 games
Windrangerqueezy
Windranger
Oracle
OracleElmisho
48% · 27 games59% · 152 games
BaneHtrd
Bane
Game 2prediction correct44:14
PlayTime 71%Level UP 29%
The model gave 71% on PlayTime — the game was taken by PlayTime in 31:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batrider
BatriderFrank
59% · 321 game46% · 48 games
Dark SeerBb3px
Dark Seer
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritDarkMago
60% · 26 games51% · 10 games
SpectreWoE
Spectre
Clinkz
ClinkzWits
43% · 45 games52% · 186 games
PangolierAinkrad
Pangolier
Axe
AxeElmisho
50% · 245 games51% · 293 games
Hoodwinkqueezy
Hoodwink
Undying
UndyingScofield
41% · 110 games49% · 210 games
WarlockHtrd
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoritePlayTime · 83%
Series resultPlayTime 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2