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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
PlayTimeloss 0:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nigma Galaxywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 19 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 15 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 14 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 14 games
36%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
33%
Viper
Viperoften banned
DarkMago · 12 games
58%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 12 games
67%

Nigma Galaxy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 38 games
53%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 30 games
77%
Dazzle
Dazzle
GH · 28 games
57%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 25 games
68%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 25 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 23 games
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Davai · 23 games
48%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Davai · 22 games
86%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
625 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
548 picks · 312 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
414 picks · 394 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
403 picks · 579 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
377 picks · 409 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
350 picks · 636 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 504 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
339 picks · 235 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 66%
Hero pool strength55% Nigma Galaxy
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total62% Nigma Galaxy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:34
PlayTime 46%Nigma Galaxy 54%
The model gave 54% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 1:05:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyWits
50% · 445 games46% · 393 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Necrophos
NecrophosDarkMago
52% · 48 games51% · 350 games
WindrangerSumaiL
Windranger
Doom
DoomFrank
52% · 217 games50% · 86 games
Dark SeerDavai
Dark Seer
Ringmaster
RingmasterElmisho
52% · 287 games50% · 52 games
Ancient ApparitionGH
Ancient Apparition
Tusk
TuskScofield
48% · 462 games49% · 578 games
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct17:39
PlayTime 42%Nigma Galaxy 58%
The model gave 58% on Nigma Galaxy — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 43:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerWits
50% · 86 games51% · 178 games
Nature's ProphetLorenof
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritDarkMago
45% · 379 games62% · 43 games
Lone DruidSumaiL
Lone Druid
Viper
ViperFrank
48% · 156 games59% · 65 games
LycanDavai
Lycan
Axe
AxeElmisho
42% · 257 games53% · 461 game
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Ringmaster
RingmasterScofield
43% · 287 games51% · 418 games
TuskGH
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy · 62%
Series resultNigma Galaxy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2