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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
PlayTimeloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
REKONIXwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 5 games
60%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Gabbi · 4 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kuku · 4 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
JG · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Armel · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JG · 2 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
DJ · 2 games
100%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
78%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
75%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
inYourdreaM · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
528 picks · 770 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
491 picks · 344 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
456 picks · 636 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 554 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
376 picks · 680 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
352 picks · 566 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 455 bans
48%
Slardar
Slardar
320 picks · 889 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 73%
Hero pool strength50% PlayTime
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:28
PlayTime 44%REKONIX 56%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 49:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckArmel
47% · 356 games51% · 239 games
MorphlingTraVins
Morphling
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinGabbi
50% · 210 games48% · 521 game
TinyinYourdreaM
Tiny
Dark Seer
Dark SeerJG
55% · 196 games49% · 165 games
Night StalkerFbz
Night Stalker
Warlock
WarlockKuku
48% · 349 games53% · 300 games
Muertadalul
Muerta
Tusk
TuskDJ
48% · 448 games50% · 334 games
DisruptorVarizh
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct9:28
PlayTime 44%REKONIX 56%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 35:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightGabbi
50% · 391 game52% · 374 games
GyrocopterTraVins
Gyrocopter
Viper
ViperArmel
56% · 49 games52% · 262 games
Queen of PaininYourdreaM
Queen of Pain
Timbersaw
TimbersawJG
49% · 281 game49% · 343 games
BatriderFbz
Batrider
Phoenix
PhoenixKuku
47% · 189 games49% · 93 games
Liondalul
Lion
Tusk
TuskDJ
49% · 428 games50% · 266 games
PugnaVarizh
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 63%
Series resultREKONIX 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2