BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportswin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Lion
cml · 7 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mac · 5 games
Mirana
Boomy · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Boomy · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Army Geniuses
Mirana
Lym- · 13 games
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 12 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 9 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
Lym- · 8 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
285 picks · 159 bans
Mars
269 picks · 363 bans
Lina
257 picks · 531 bans
Tidehunter
248 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
239 picks · 342 bans
Shadow Demon
228 picks · 241 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 18%
Hero pool strength57% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 72%
Series resultPolaris Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect