BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Execrationloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Lion
cml · 7 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mac · 5 games
Mirana
Boomy · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Boomy · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Execration
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 19 games
Pucksignature
Bob · 16 games
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 13 games
Tinysignature
Tino- · 13 games
Invokeroften banned
Bob · 11 games
Linasignature
Bob · 11 games
Treant Protector
RR · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
282 picks · 155 bans
Mars
267 picks · 357 bans
Lina
257 picks · 523 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 338 bans
Shadow Demon
226 picks · 237 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 31%
Hero pool strength58% Execration
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 53%