BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO3
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 0:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Lionsignature
cml · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
Force · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Force · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
Mac · 11 games
Marsoften banned
Force · 11 games
Banesignature
cml · 9 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 9 games
Execration
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Linaoften banned
Bob · 12 games
Ogre Magi
RR · 12 games
Bane
RR · 11 games
Batridersignature
Bob · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Tino- · 11 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Bob · 9 games
Tiny
Tino- · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
536 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 569 bans
Mars
440 picks · 593 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 716 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 570 bans
Snapfire
333 picks · 164 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 358 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 38%
Hero pool strength60% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 76%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed