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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportswin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Myth Avenue Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Polaris Esports

Undying
Undyingoften banned
Force · 9 games
33%
Lina
Linasignature
Mac · 8 games
75%
Marci
Marcisignature
Boomy · 8 games
88%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 7 games
57%
Lich
Lich
Eyyou · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 5 games
80%
Tusk
Tusk
Boomy · 5 games
80%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Force · 5 games
80%

Myth Avenue Gaming

Tusk
Tusksignature
Hishge · 7 games
86%
Lina
Linasignature
xsilearn · 6 games
100%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
Meracle · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Hishge · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 4 games
100%
Mirana
Miranaoften banned
RR · 4 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Hishge · 4 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Meracle · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
402 picks · 398 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
369 picks · 367 bans
49%
Rubick
Rubick
358 picks · 246 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
292 picks · 297 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
234 picks · 282 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
226 picks · 118 bans
49%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
208 picks · 145 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
196 picks · 541 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Polaris Esports 57%Myth Avenue Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Polaris Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Polaris Esports 57%Myth Avenue Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Polaris Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 57%
Series resultPolaris Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2