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BTS Pro Series Season 14: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportswin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UD Vessuwanloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Polaris Esports

Undying
Undyingoften banned
Force · 9 games
33%
Lina
Linasignature
Mac · 8 games
75%
Marci
Marcisignature
Boomy · 8 games
88%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 7 games
57%
Lich
Lich
Eyyou · 6 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Mac · 5 games
80%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Boomy · 5 games
80%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Force · 5 games
80%

UD Vessuwan

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
AlaCrity · 2 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Meracle · 2 games
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Jhocam · 2 games
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Meracle · 2 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jhocam · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 2 games
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
402 picks · 406 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
379 picks · 368 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
368 picks · 252 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
293 picks · 302 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
241 picks · 293 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
231 picks · 120 bans
48%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
210 picks · 147 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
200 picks · 551 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 60%
Hero pool strength63% Polaris Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Polaris Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Polaris Esports 67%UD Vessuwan 33%
The model gave 67% on Polaris Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Polaris Esports 67%UD Vessuwan 33%
The model gave 67% on Polaris Esports — the game was taken by Polaris Esports.
Model check result
Model favoritePolaris Esports · 67%
Series resultPolaris Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2