Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Poor Rangerswin 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Gloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Poor Rangers
No games played over 6 months.
Team G
Timbersawoften banned
Antares · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
Munkushi~ · 1 game
Kezoften banned
Munkushi~ · 1 game
Lion
mrls · 1 game
Night Stalker
Antares · 1 game
Rubick
mrls · 1 game
Silencer
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
586 picks · 356 bans
Phoenix
486 picks · 578 bans
Rubick
471 picks · 251 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
394 picks · 546 bans
Puck
334 picks · 899 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 833 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Team G
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Poor Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
Poor Rangers 52%Team G 48%
The model gave 52% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Poor Rangers in 43:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusTA2000
KezMunkushi~
DoomAlberkaaa
Queen of Painxn丶e
Vipernicky`cool
AxeAntares
HoodwinkImmersion
Techiesmrls
SilencerHduo
PhoenixSoNNeikO
Game 2prediction missed0:0
Poor Rangers 52%Team G 48%
The model gave 52% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Team G in 47:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerTA2000
KezMunkushi~
Tinynicky`cool
DoomAntares
SlardarAlberkaaa
Huskarxn丶e
WindrangerImmersion
Winter WyvernSoNNeikO
LichHduo
Lionmrls
Game 3prediction correct0:0
Poor Rangers 52%Team G 48%
The model gave 52% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Poor Rangers in 20:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MagnusTA2000
Shadow FiendMunkushi~
Tinynicky`cool
TimbersawAntares
AxeAlberkaaa
Slardarxn丶e
LichHduo
ChenSoNNeikO
Shadow DemonImmersion
Techiesmrls
Model check result
Model favoritePoor Rangers · 55%
Series resultPoor Rangers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3