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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AVULUSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 12 games
75%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 12 games
67%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 10 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 10 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 9 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 8 games
75%

AVULUS

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
asdekor_r · 25 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
dualrazee · 23 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
dualrazee · 19 games
58%
Warlock
Warlock
asdekor_r · 17 games
24%
Snapfire
Snapfire
JANTER · 15 games
53%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Corrupted · 15 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Ekki · 14 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Wein · 14 games
36%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
622 picks · 959 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
513 picks · 430 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
461 picks · 626 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
436 picks · 982 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
427 picks · 467 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 515 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
418 picks · 257 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 661 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 41%
Hero pool strength58% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:19
Power Rangers 52%AVULUS 48%
The model gave 52% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 42:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezbashka
49% · 70 games53% · 77 games
RazorCorrupted
Razor
Timbersaw
TimbersawAlberkaaa
49% · 191 game52% · 223 games
AbaddonTA2000
Abaddon
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnernicky`cool
52% · 333 games49% · 195 games
Void Spiritdualrazee
Void Spirit
Chen
ChenHduo
52% · 214 games54% · 57 games
Spirit BreakerWein
Spirit Breaker
Dark Willow
Dark WillowImmersion
44% · 188 games47% · 444 games
Jakiroasdekor_r
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct31:25
Power Rangers 54%AVULUS 46%
The model gave 54% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 41:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinbashka
54% · 199 games56% · 193 games
Shadow Fienddualrazee
Shadow Fiend
Viper
ViperAlberkaaa
48% · 92 games45% · 227 games
WindrangerTA2000
Windranger
Tiny
Tinynicky`cool
45% · 373 games51% · 120 games
Primal BeastCorrupted
Primal Beast
Largo
LargoHduo
45% · 57 games50% · 287 games
Ringmasterasdekor_r
Ringmaster
Hoodwink
HoodwinkImmersion
53% · 240 games51% · 134 games
ClockwerkWein
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 51%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2