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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 1:0
series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Ilbirs eSportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 23 games
57%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 19 games
68%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 17 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Immersion · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 16 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 14 games
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 13 games
62%

Ilbirs eSports

Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 7 games
29%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
egx · 6 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
xsvampire · 5 games
20%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Miyaoo · 4 games
25%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Undyne_ · 4 games
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Norma · 4 games
75%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
rubikon155 · 4 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
xsvampire · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1140 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 33%
Hero pool strength62% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Power Rangers 91%Ilbirs eSports 9%
The model gave 91% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 91%
Series resultPower Rangers 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1