CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 13 games
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 12 games
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 10 games
Tusk
Immersion · 10 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 9 games
HULIGANI
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 47 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
Chensignature
RESPECT · 39 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
slimeyao · 36 games
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 36 games
Tusk
slimeyao · 35 games
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 34 games
Snapfire
RESPECT · 34 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
625 picks · 973 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 434 bans
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 626 bans
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 1005 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 477 bans
Warlock
430 picks · 261 bans
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 510 bans
Mars
402 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:44
Power Rangers 54%HULIGANI 46%
The model gave 54% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 53:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razornesfeer
Beastmasterv1olent-
Tinynicky`cool
BrewmasterBb3px
BristlebackAlberkaaa
Ember SpiritMirage
TuskImmersion
Jakiroslimeyao
Ancient ApparitionHduo
LargoRESPECT
Game 2prediction correct32:33
Power Rangers 60%HULIGANI 40%
The model gave 60% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 48:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razornesfeer
Ursav1olent-
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
BeastmasterMirage
Sand Kingnicky`cool
MarsBb3px
DisruptorHduo
JakiroRESPECT
RingmasterImmersion
Dark Willowslimeyao
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 63%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2