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CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 13 games
77%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 12 games
67%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 10 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 10 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 10 games
50%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 9 games
78%

HULIGANI

Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 47 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 43 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 39 games
67%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
slimeyao · 36 games
58%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 36 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 35 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RESPECT · 34 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 34 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
625 picks · 973 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
514 picks · 434 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 626 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
440 picks · 1005 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
432 picks · 477 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
430 picks · 261 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
423 picks · 510 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
402 picks · 560 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total63% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:44
Power Rangers 54%HULIGANI 46%
The model gave 54% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 53:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
Razornesfeer
54% · 131 game50% · 394 games
Beastmasterv1olent-
Beastmaster
Tiny
Tinynicky`cool
43% · 576 games44% · 157 games
BrewmasterBb3px
Brewmaster
Bristleback
BristlebackAlberkaaa
56% · 318 games55% · 504 games
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Tusk
TuskImmersion
47% · 545 games49% · 629 games
Jakiroslimeyao
Jakiro
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionHduo
48% · 213 games56% · 99 games
LargoRESPECT
Largo
Game 2prediction correct32:33
Power Rangers 60%HULIGANI 40%
The model gave 60% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 48:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razor
Razornesfeer
52% · 136 games46% · 258 games
Ursav1olent-
Ursa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
57% · 514 games50% · 336 games
BeastmasterMirage
Beastmaster
Sand King
Sand Kingnicky`cool
56% · 274 games44% · 389 games
MarsBb3px
Mars
Disruptor
DisruptorHduo
52% · 398 games46% · 656 games
JakiroRESPECT
Jakiro
Ringmaster
RingmasterImmersion
54% · 522 games42% · 205 games
Dark Willowslimeyao
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 63%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2