The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 40 games
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 40 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 31 game
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 31 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 29 games
Tusk
Immersion · 25 games
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 23 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 22 games
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
sayuw · 39 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 37 games
Shadow Demonsignature
sayuw · 36 games
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 36 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 32 games
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 30 games
Rubick
sayuw · 29 games
Tiny
erase · 29 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
644 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
592 picks · 334 bans
Phoenix
471 picks · 551 bans
Pangolier
458 picks · 660 bans
Tiny
430 picks · 374 bans
Ember Spirit
355 picks · 516 bans
Storm Spirit
348 picks · 405 bans
Puck
341 picks · 1029 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 61%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total57% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:36
Power Rangers 46%HULIGANI 54%
The model gave 54% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 1:03:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersawnicky`cool
Drow Rangerssnovv1
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Ember SpiritMirage
MagnusTA2000
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
SilencerHduo
UndyingRESPECT
ClockwerkImmersion
Hoodwinksayuw
Game 2prediction correct24:27
Power Rangers 46%HULIGANI 54%
The model gave 54% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 52:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Painnicky`cool
Terrorbladessnovv1
LunaTA2000
Storm SpiritMirage
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
UnderlordCorrupted
SilencerHduo
EnchantressRESPECT
Treant ProtectorImmersion
Banesayuw
Game 3prediction missed41:15
Power Rangers 46%HULIGANI 54%
The model gave 54% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 46:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosTA2000
Nature's Prophetssnovv1
Leshracnicky`cool
BeastmasterCorrupted
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Storm SpiritMirage
SilencerHduo
Clockwerksayuw
Treant ProtectorImmersion
BaneRESPECT
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 57%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3