EPL Masters II · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangersloss 1:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HULIGANIwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 39 games
Slardaroften banned
nicky`cool · 31 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 29 games
Windrangersignature
Immersion · 27 games
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 26 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 25 games
Phoenix
Immersion · 21 game
Tusk
Immersion · 17 games
HULIGANI
Hoodwink
sayuw · 47 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 35 games
Phoenix
RESPECT · 27 games
Pucksignature
Mirage · 27 games
Rubick
sayuw · 26 games
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 23 games
Slardaroften banned
Corrupted · 22 games
Underlordoften banned
Corrupted · 22 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
479 picks · 318 bans
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 500 bans
Bane
317 picks · 434 bans
Clockwerk
316 picks · 392 bans
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 625 bans
Mirana
286 picks · 102 bans
Dark Willow
277 picks · 114 bans
Centaur Warrunner
276 picks · 289 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 41%
Hero pool strength51% Power Rangers
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total50% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Power Rangers 50%HULIGANI 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI.
Game 2prediction missed
Power Rangers 50%HULIGANI 50%
The model gave 50% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Game 3prediction missed7:19
Power Rangers 52%HULIGANI 48%
The model gave 52% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 26:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kezv1olent-
Lunassnovv1
Dragon Knightnicky`cool
Dark SeerCorrupted
DoomAlberkaaa
PangolierMirage
MiranaZayac
Spirit Breakerprblms
DisruptorImmersion
RingmasterRESPECT
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 50%
Series resultHULIGANI 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3