CCT Season 2 Series 7 · BO5
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 3:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 3:1
Pipsqueak+4loss 1:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 14 games
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 12 games
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 12 games
Tusk
Immersion · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 10 games
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 10 games
Chensignature
Hduo · 9 games
Pipsqueak+4
Warlock
Kidaro · 47 games
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 43 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 42 games
Marsoften banned
Palantimos · 37 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 34 games
Tusksignature
Ekki · 33 games
Batridersignature
Ekki · 32 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 31 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
638 picks · 996 bans
Tusk
529 picks · 444 bans
Centaur Warrunner
464 picks · 637 bans
Shadow Demon
446 picks · 1043 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 483 bans
Warlock
444 picks · 274 bans
Dragon Knight
422 picks · 515 bans
Mars
421 picks · 580 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:37
Power Rangers 55%Pipsqueak+4 45%
The model gave 55% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Pipsqueak+4 in 44:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Razornesfeer
WindrangerDarkLord^
Timbersawnicky`cool
Void SpiritCopy
KunkkaAlberkaaa
SlardarPalantimos
PhoenixHduo
JakiroEkki
Shadow ShamanImmersion
Treant Protectoraik
Game 2prediction correct44:26
Power Rangers 57%Pipsqueak+4 43%
The model gave 57% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 40:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassinnesfeer
WindrangerDarkLord^
Slardarnicky`cool
Queen of PainCopy
BatriderAlberkaaa
MarsPalantimos
WarlockHduo
TuskEkki
Earth SpiritImmersion
Lichaik
Game 3prediction correct39:24
Power Rangers 55%Pipsqueak+4 45%
The model gave 55% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 38:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendnesfeer
Dragon KnightCopy
Pucknicky`cool
RazorDarkLord^
SlardarAlberkaaa
Centaur WarrunnerPalantimos
JakiroHduo
BatriderEkki
Shadow DemonImmersion
Undyingaik
Game 4prediction correct38:21
Power Rangers 55%Pipsqueak+4 45%
The model gave 55% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 53:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the Lightnicky`cool
ClinkzDarkLord^
Razornesfeer
PuckCopy
MarsAlberkaaa
SlardarPalantimos
WarlockHduo
BatriderEkki
PhoenixImmersion
Omniknightaik
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 61%
Series resultPower Rangers 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4