Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
beastcoastloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 29 games
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 27 games
Hoodwinksignature
OmaR · 26 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
No!ob · 23 games
Windrangersignature
TA2000 · 23 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
OmaR · 22 games
Tinysignature
No!ob · 22 games
Doomoften banned
Malik · 17 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
385 picks · 661 bans
Gyrocopter
320 picks · 367 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 452 bans
Dark Willow
311 picks · 351 bans
Weaver
309 picks · 581 bans
Rubick
303 picks · 188 bans
Hoodwink
294 picks · 212 bans
Pangolier
285 picks · 534 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% PSG Quest
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:33
PSG Quest 50%beastcoast 50%
The model gave 50% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by beastcoast in 33:20.
Game 2prediction correct39:12
PSG Quest 50%beastcoast 50%
The model gave 50% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 36:24.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2