Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 0:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gambit Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 4 games
Puckoften banned
No!ob · 4 games
Undyingoften banned
Eixn · 4 games
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 3 games
Earth Spirit
OmaR · 3 games
Iooften banned
Eixn · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
OmaR · 3 games
Mirana
OmaR · 3 games
Gambit Esports
Bane
Panto · 2 games
Clockwerk
sayuw · 2 games
Mirana
sayuw · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
AfterLife · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 1 game
Juggernaut
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
452 picks · 280 bans
Mars
452 picks · 618 bans
Tiny
417 picks · 480 bans
Sand King
385 picks · 504 bans
Death Prophet
364 picks · 781 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 534 bans
Storm Spirit
326 picks · 505 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 478 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 70%
Hero pool strength55% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:50
PSG Quest 18%Gambit Esports 82%
The model gave 82% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 44:45.
Game 2prediction correct43:57
PSG Quest 18%Gambit Esports 82%
The model gave 82% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gambit Esports in 56:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 82%
Series resultGambit Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2