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DreamLeague Season 23 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 22 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
OmaR · 17 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 17 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 16 games
44%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
OmaR · 15 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 15 games
33%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No!ob · 15 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TA2000 · 15 games
47%

Team Liquid

Luna
Lunaoften banned
miCKe · 32 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Boxi · 31 game
55%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 25 games
60%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 24 games
58%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 24 games
42%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
miCKe · 24 games
71%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 23 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Boxi · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 638 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 727 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
408 picks · 574 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
403 picks · 361 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 164 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 791 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
340 picks · 949 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total52% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:24
PSG Quest 49%Team Liquid 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 46:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoTA2000
49% · 23 games54% · 56 games
SniperNisha
Sniper
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
50% · 130 games55% · 140 games
LifestealermiCKe
Lifestealer
Kunkka
KunkkaMalik
43% · 131 game42% · 110 games
Tidehunter33
Tidehunter
Venomancer
VenomancerDukalis
47% · 32 games54% · 45 games
MarciBoxi
Marci
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonOmaR
49% · 158 games57% · 123 games
DisruptoriNSaNiA
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed17:38
PSG Quest 50%Team Liquid 50%
The model gave 50% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 41:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTA2000
48% · 203 games47% · 170 games
Faceless VoidmiCKe
Faceless Void
Bristleback
BristlebackMalik
39% · 55 games44% · 173 games
TimbersawNisha
Timbersaw
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNo!ob
60% · 96 games55% · 140 games
Brewmaster33
Brewmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkDukalis
51% · 158 games54% · 124 games
DisruptoriNSaNiA
Disruptor
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonOmaR
54% · 241 game45% · 146 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2