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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Qhaliwin 1:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NoPing VPNloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Qhali

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 7 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 5 games
40%
Clinkz
Clinkz
MonHty · 5 games
40%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
MonHty · 5 games
20%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
MonHty · 4 games
75%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Robo-Z · 4 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Luis · 4 games
50%
Visage
Visage
Hermit · 4 games
50%

NoPing VPN

Underlord
Underlordsignature
drakeel · 7 games
86%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Zxca · 5 games
80%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
hFn · 4 games
50%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Yor · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 3 games
33%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Yor · 3 games
0%
Luna
Luna
hFn · 3 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
Zxca · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
216 picks · 271 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
184 picks · 190 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
183 picks · 388 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
178 picks · 75 bans
52%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
169 picks · 167 bans
59%
Sven
Sven
169 picks · 248 bans
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
153 picks · 246 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
152 picks · 205 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Qhali 41%NoPing VPN 59%
The model gave 59% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by Qhali.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 59%
Series resultQhali 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1