DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 0:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Aim Possiblewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 12 games
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 11 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 10 games
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 9 games
Aim Possible
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
517 picks · 712 bans
Muerta
427 picks · 312 bans
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
Bristleback
378 picks · 868 bans
Magnus
377 picks · 997 bans
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 642 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 505 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 29%
Hero pool strength56% Aim Possible
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Quantum Team 70%Aim Possible 30%
The model gave 70% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by Aim Possible.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 70%
Series resultAim Possible 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1