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ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamwin 1:0
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Allianceloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Magnus
Magnus
Rvze · 8 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 7 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 6 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Somnia · 5 games
20%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 5 games
40%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 4 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 4 games
75%

Alliance

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 22 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Nande · 20 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
dEsire · 20 games
75%
Warlock
Warlockoften banned
Kidaro · 20 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mo13ei · 19 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mo13ei · 15 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 14 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Palantimos · 13 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
422 picks · 526 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
371 picks · 360 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 437 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
311 picks · 361 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
300 picks · 560 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
273 picks · 144 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 338 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
255 picks · 944 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Alliance
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Quantum Team 25%Alliance 75%
The model gave 75% on Alliance — the game was taken by Quantum Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 75%
Series resultQuantum Team 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1