DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 0:2series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BBandaNoonewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
No games played over 6 months.
BandaNoone
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
331 picks · 324 bans
Hoodwink
330 picks · 380 bans
Pangolier
325 picks · 468 bans
Snapfire
313 picks · 262 bans
Dragon Knight
289 picks · 447 bans
Enchantress
285 picks · 477 bans
Sven
285 picks · 299 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Quantum Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% BandaNoone
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:45
Quantum Team 6%BandaNoone 94%
The model gave 94% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone in 29:44.
Game 2prediction correct38:13
Quantum Team 6%BandaNoone 94%
The model gave 94% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone in 23:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteBandaNoone · 94%
Series resultBandaNoone 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2