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CCT Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamwin 2:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Somnia · 5 games
60%
Magnus
Magnus
kolya_kaBAN68 · 5 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 5 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fezor · 5 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Somnia · 3 games
33%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 3 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
67%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Fezor · 3 games
33%

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
aik · 21 game
62%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 18 games
33%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 17 games
65%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
jesv · 15 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
31%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
MikSa` · 12 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shishak · 12 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 436 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
329 picks · 262 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
308 picks · 548 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
295 picks · 237 bans
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
293 picks · 252 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
286 picks · 462 bans
46%
Tusk
Tusk
285 picks · 391 bans
54%
Windranger
Windranger
277 picks · 401 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 31%
Hero pool strength50% Quantum Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:25
Quantum Team 36%Nemiga Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 29:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinbashka
42% · 22 games49% · 149 games
Batriderряф^^
Batrider
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinRvze
53% · 104 games44% · 21 game
Night StalkerMiyaoo
Night Stalker
Dark Seer
Dark Seerkolya_kaBAN68
60% · 113 games45% · 114 games
SnapfireShishak
Snapfire
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSomnia
54% · 18 games48% · 149 games
Clockwerkantoha
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskFezor
50% · 176 games
Game 2prediction missed36:18
Quantum Team 37%Nemiga Gaming 63%
The model gave 63% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 35:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunabashka
53% · 291 game57% · 203 games
Puckряф^^
Puck
Magnus
MagnusRvze
46% · 144 games44% · 274 games
PangolierMiyaoo
Pangolier
Underlord
Underlordkolya_kaBAN68
45% · 82 games54% · 170 games
Shadow DemonShishak
Shadow Demon
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSomnia
54% · 29 games51% · 172 games
Clockwerkantoha
Clockwerk
Phoenix
PhoenixFezor
49% · 273 games
Game 3prediction missed28:23
Quantum Team 38%Nemiga Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 41:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightbashka
52% · 229 games44% · 383 games
Pangolierряф^^
Pangolier
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritRvze
60% · 152 games48% · 240 games
TimbersawMiyaoo
Timbersaw
Mars
Marskolya_kaBAN68
50% · 199 games44% · 137 games
PugnaShishak
Pugna
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSomnia
56% · 91 game53% · 112 games
Disruptorantoha
Disruptor
Phoenix
PhoenixFezor
46% · 201 game
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 74%
Series resultQuantum Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3