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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quantum Team

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Rvze · 14 games
43%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fezor · 12 games
25%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 12 games
42%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 11 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Rvze · 10 games
20%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 8 games
13%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ankou · 8 games
25%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 10 games
30%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bashka · 10 games
20%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 7 games
71%
Muerta
Muerta
Shishak · 6 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 6 games
33%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
bashka · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
488 picks · 446 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
484 picks · 569 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
452 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
352 picks · 716 bans
47%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
319 picks · 730 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
315 picks · 494 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 260 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
293 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total55% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:9
Quantum Team 49%Nemiga Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 27:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenLukas
47% · 95 games38% · 32 games
AxeCovisnine
Axe
Undying
UndyingPalantimos
49% · 21 game49% · 157 games
Ursabashka
Ursa
Tiny
TinyAinkrad
58% · 294 games44% · 84 games
Queen of Painyoung G
Queen of Pain
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanemptiness
51% · 90 games53% · 171 game
Nature's Prophetmonodrama
Nature's Prophet
Jakiro
JakiroMary_y
51% · 226 games51% · 282 games
Muertaxsvampire
Muerta
Game 2prediction correct16:40
Quantum Team 50%Nemiga Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 53:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaLukas
46% · 150 games48% · 305 games
Terrorbladebashka
Terrorblade
Tiny
TinyAinkrad
53% · 448 games50% · 298 games
Storm Spirityoung G
Storm Spirit
Undying
UndyingPalantimos
58% · 38 games55% · 129 games
DawnbreakerCovisnine
Dawnbreaker
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanemptiness
52% · 135 games43% · 167 games
Silencermonodrama
Silencer
Jakiro
JakiroMary_y
50% · 368 games49% · 240 games
Windrangerxsvampire
Windranger
Game 3prediction correct22:37
Quantum Team 47%Nemiga Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 41:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerLukas
48% · 95 games53% · 110 games
Svenbashka
Sven
Phoenix
PhoenixAinkrad
47% · 208 games43% · 265 games
Dragon Knightyoung G
Dragon Knight
Doom
DoomPalantimos
58% · 183 games48% · 80 games
SlardarCovisnine
Slardar
Bane
Baneemptiness
61% · 37 games53% · 97 games
Shadow Shamanxsvampire
Shadow Shaman
Silencer
SilencerMary_y
44% · 138 games50% · 109 games
Ancient Apparitionmonodrama
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 55%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3