ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
Snapfire
The Warden · 20 games
Tiny
iAnnihilate · 16 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 14 games
Grimstrokesignature
The Warden · 13 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 13 games
Void Spiritoften banned
iAnnihilate · 13 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Ark · 12 games
Skywrath Magesignature
The Warden · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
634 picks · 476 bans
Puck
445 picks · 954 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 189 bans
Dawnbreaker
364 picks · 429 bans
Mars
350 picks · 584 bans
Dragon Knight
333 picks · 448 bans
Marci
314 picks · 630 bans
Bane
310 picks · 191 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 54%
Hero pool strength51% Quincy Crew
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total71% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:32
Quincy Crew 71%Wildcard Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 31:24.
Game 2prediction missed47:21
Quincy Crew 71%Wildcard Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 35:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 71%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2