?
arrow_backBack to match
OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO3
result vs prediction
Ragdollloss 1:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:2
M Ywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ragdoll

No games played over 6 months.

M Y

Elder Titan
Elder Titan
MyPro · 4 games
50%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
KNP · 4 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Beebie · 4 games
25%
Bane
Bane
LionaX · 3 games
33%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
KNP · 3 games
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
LionaX · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
LionaX · 3 games
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
LionaX · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
360 picks · 176 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
331 picks · 121 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
270 picks · 495 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
256 picks · 429 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
254 picks · 338 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
250 picks · 335 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
242 picks · 512 bans
56%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
233 picks · 479 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 19%
Hero pool strength55% Ragdoll
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Ragdoll
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRagdoll · 65%
Series resultM Y 1:2
Series predictionmissed