Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Ram Squadloss 0:2series probability
19%81%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Level UPwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ram Squad
No games played over 6 months.
Level UP
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
770 picks · 604 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 450 bans
Tiny
434 picks · 381 bans
Beastmaster
420 picks · 976 bans
Nature's Prophet
401 picks · 676 bans
Undying
399 picks · 593 bans
Ember Spirit
392 picks · 919 bans
Mirana
389 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Ram Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:42
Ram Squad 19%Level UP 81%
The model gave 81% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 53:29.
Game 2prediction correct7:40
Ram Squad 19%Level UP 81%
The model gave 81% on Level UP — the game was taken by Level UP in 31:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 81%
Series resultLevel UP 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2