Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ramzes Clubloss 1:2series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Stariy_Bog Clubwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ramzes Club
No games played over 6 months.
Stariy_Bog Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
546 picks · 337 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 566 bans
Rubick
442 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
425 picks · 352 bans
Pangolier
366 picks · 499 bans
Puck
322 picks · 844 bans
Jakiro
318 picks · 216 bans
Beastmaster
314 picks · 801 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ramzes Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Ramzes Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ramzes Club 76%Stariy_Bog Club 24%
The model gave 76% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Stariy_Bog Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Ramzes Club 76%Stariy_Bog Club 24%
The model gave 76% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 3prediction missed
Ramzes Club 76%Stariy_Bog Club 24%
The model gave 76% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Stariy_Bog Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Club · 76%
Series resultStariy_Bog Club 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3