Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionRERandoms Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Infamouswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Randoms Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Lifestealeroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Linaoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Puckoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Sven
CarJua · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
423 picks · 637 bans
Batrider
415 picks · 721 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
377 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 786 bans
Shadow Demon
336 picks · 949 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 25%
Hero pool strength57% Randoms Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Randoms Esports 45%Infamous 55%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 55%
Series resultInfamous 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1