BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
5ManMidasloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 10 games
Beastmastersignature
Benjaz · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Visageoften banned
Benjaz · 5 games
Doomoften banned
d1smar · 4 games
Ogre Magi
Cara · 4 games
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
660 picks · 519 bans
Marci
477 picks · 703 bans
Dawnbreaker
442 picks · 610 bans
Puck
434 picks · 896 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
Zeus
296 picks · 389 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 469 bans
Razor
276 picks · 498 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 44%
Hero pool strength62% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:25
Ravens 80%5ManMidas 20%
The model gave 80% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 41:24.
Game 2prediction correct33:11
Ravens 80%5ManMidas 20%
The model gave 80% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 28:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 80%
Series resultRavens 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2