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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Dreamersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ravens

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
d1smar · 3 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Cara · 2 games
50%
Io
Iooften banned
Cara · 2 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Benjaz · 2 games
50%

Dreamers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
441 picks · 268 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
405 picks · 557 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
351 picks · 408 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
334 picks · 669 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 437 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
293 picks · 384 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
279 picks · 334 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
258 picks · 384 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:34
Ravens 56%Dreamers 44%
The model gave 56% on Ravens — the game was taken by Dreamers in 55:10.
Game 2prediction correct26:18
Ravens 56%Dreamers 44%
The model gave 56% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 32:34.
Game 3prediction correct27:14
Ravens 56%Dreamers 44%
The model gave 56% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 32:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 56%
Series resultRavens 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3