Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
IWInvaders Worldloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
No games played over 6 months.
Invaders World
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 362 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 576 bans
Mars
440 picks · 592 bans
Weaver
418 picks · 730 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 541 bans
Spirit Breaker
341 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 166 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 56%
Series resultRavens 2:1
Series predictioncorrect