ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
ReBelloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ReBel
Invokeroften banned
Askold · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Max · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Ogre Magi
Max · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Rubick
Max · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Retsu · 1 game
Nemiga Gaming
Snapfire
Shishak · 13 games
Pangolieroften banned
Miyaoo · 11 games
Hoodwink
Shishak · 10 games
Clockwerkoften banned
antoha · 7 games
Jakiro
forcemajor · 7 games
Slardaroften banned
Miyaoo · 7 games
Sven
Lowskill · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Miyaoo · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
453 picks · 370 bans
Clockwerk
421 picks · 542 bans
Batrider
374 picks · 474 bans
Lion
370 picks · 194 bans
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 581 bans
Phoenix
358 picks · 394 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 586 bans
Beastmaster
340 picks · 849 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% ReBel
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% ReBel
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
ReBel 52%Nemiga Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on ReBel — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteReBel · 52%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1