DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionRBRed Bullsloss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9z Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Red Bulls
No games played over 6 months.
9z Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
523 picks · 718 bans
Muerta
429 picks · 314 bans
Phoenix
427 picks · 701 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 400 bans
Phantom Assassin
379 picks · 649 bans
Bristleback
378 picks · 871 bans
Magnus
378 picks · 1005 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Red Bulls
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Red Bulls
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:34
Red Bulls 53%9z Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Red Bulls — the game was taken by 9z Team in 30:44.
Game 2prediction missed27:37
Red Bulls 53%9z Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Red Bulls — the game was taken by 9z Team in 28:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed Bulls · 53%
Series result9z Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2