The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Red Hot Chili Pibblewin 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
RisingRageloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Red Hot Chili Pibble
Disruptor
Prada · 3 games
Rubick
Alone · 3 games
Snapfireoften banned
Alone · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Bane
Prada · 1 game
Hoodwink
Mjz · 1 game
Luna
Mnz · 1 game
RisingRage
Largooften banned
CHAAANNN · 2 games
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
Visageoften banned
Hermit · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Kiri · 1 game
Drow Rangeroften banned
DM · 1 game
Hoodwink
Kiri · 1 game
Jakiro
Kiri · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
638 picks · 435 bans
Rubick
564 picks · 313 bans
Phoenix
484 picks · 588 bans
Tiny
457 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
436 picks · 653 bans
Puck
352 picks · 1028 bans
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 531 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Red Hot Chili Pibble
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Red Hot Chili Pibble
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Red Hot Chili Pibble 56%RisingRage 44%
The model gave 56% on Red Hot Chili Pibble — the game was taken by Red Hot Chili Pibble.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed Hot Chili Pibble · 56%
Series resultRed Hot Chili Pibble 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1